The Minister of Information and National Orientation, Mohammed Idris, has predicted that the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) will govern at least 30 states across Nigeria by 2026. This optimistic forecast is linked to a continuing wave of defections from opposition parties, notably the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), to the APC.
Addressing journalists in Abuja, Minister Idris attributed the growing support for the APC to Nigerians’ confidence in President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s administration and its policy direction, popularly dubbed the “Renewed Hope Agenda.” According to Idris, opposition leaders and governors have increasingly shown interest in joining the APC, believing the party offers better governance prospects.
The ongoing defections have notably weakened the PDP, with reports indicating that the party now holds governorship in only eight states after recent resignations of prominent governors, including Peter Mbah of Enugu and Douye Diri of Bayelsa, who both joined the APC.
Idris stressed that the APC's gains signify public trust in its leadership and vision for the country’s future. The Minister reaffirmed the party’s commitment to delivering good governance and uniting Nigerians across all political divides, as defections continue to reshape Nigeria's political landscape.
Political analysts note that the surge in defections ahead of the 2026 elections could significantly enhance the APC’s dominance however, it also raises questions about the health and cohesion of opposition parties. While the APC basks in its expanded influence, some critics warn that such mass defections reflect deeper systemic challenges in Nigeria’s partisan politics.
Nevertheless, the Information Minister's prediction signals a crucial development in party politics, underscoring the shifting allegiances and strategies gearing up for the general elections. With the APC projected to govern over half of Nigeria's states, the opposition faces the daunting task of rebuilding and organizing if it hopes to mount a credible challenge.
Further political realignments are expected in the coming months, as the 2026 election cycle draws nearer, shaping the future power dynamics in Nigeria’s federating units.